Along with learning royal protocol, taking on public duties and finding her way around a variety of palatial royal homes, Kate Middleton has one more task that she will certainly be under a lot of pressure to fulfill. She will be expected to be “fruitful and multiply.” This is one area where living up to comparisons to her late mother-in-law, Diana Princess of Wales, is likely to be challenging: Diana gave birth to Prince William less than 11 months after her wedding.
More recent royal brides don’t produce so quickly. This may be partly by personal choice indicating a desire common among modern women to focus on the marital relationship or the career change (“princesshood”) before jumping into the additional responsibilities of motherhood. Or, it may be due to natural selection. Today’s royal ladies are much older than Diana at marriage and the older a woman is, on average, the more difficult it may be for her to conceive naturally. According to researchers at the University of Edinburgh and at Kate’s alma mater, the University of St. Andrews, only 25% of women her age get pregnant within the first year of “trying” and 9% still don’t get pregnant within four years.
Masako’s fertility struggles almost certainly contributed to her ongoing mental/emotional health problems, which have been officially described as deriving from an adjustment disorder. Since shortly after Aiko’s birth, she has remained largely out of the limelight indicating that whatever emotional disturbance she is suffering may have been directly aggravated by postpartum depression and/or the imperial disappointment in the birth of a daughter. In 2007, she may have been further stressed by the publication of an unauthorized biography that allegedly laid bare her troubles and asserted that she had used in vitro fertilization to conceive Aiko. The Imperial Household issued a public letter denouncing the book but did not deny any of its assertions. Interestingly, it is entirely possible that Princess Kiko may also have used some sort of reproductive assistance to have Hisahito. Now 47, Masako is extremely unlikely to have any more children.
Fortunately, the future queens in Europe have not had such heart-breaking fertility problems. However, the constant baby bump watch currently being endured by Crown Princess Victoria of Sweden, who married just nine months ago, demonstrates that the media and public still expect pregnancies immediately after a royal wedding.
Here is a rundown of the current crown princesses and their pregnancies:
- Mary Crown Princess of Denmark was 32 when she married. The first of her four children was born 17 months later.
- Letizia The Princess of the Asturias was 32 when she married. The first of her two children was born 17 months later.
- Princess Mathilde The Duchess of Brabant was 26 when she married. The first of her four children was born 22 months later.
- Maxima The Princess of Orange was 30 when she married. The first of her three children was born 22 months later.
- Mette-Marit Crown Princess of Norway was 28 when she married. The first of her two royal children was born 29 months later. She had another child from a previous relationship when she was 23.
- Crown Princess Victoria of Sweden married shortly before her 33rd birthday. Now nine months into the marriage, no pregnancy has been announced. [Update: Victoria's daughter, Princess Estelle, was born in February 2012, 20 months after her parent's marriage.]
So, if these royal contemporaries are any indication, it is likely that William and Kate would not be welcoming a little one until 2013 or later. Hopefully, if Kate and William do have problems conceiving, the media and the public will be sympathetic and supportive and Kate won’t suffer anything like the anxiety still being experienced by Masako.
[Update Kate is nearing the due date for her first child, which is expected in July 2013. She was 29 when she married and the first baby will be born 27 months after the wedding.]